About - Recruiter’s View

Sooner or later, everything in real life influences the jobs markets. So, our topics here range all over the place.

In our search to discover and share what’s really going on, we are particularly trying to answer the questions:

  • Where will jobs be created (and why?)
  • Where will jobs be destroyed (and why?)

This is my commentary on what I see and what I think it means.

People sometimes ask my opinion, because they assume a Recruiter’s activity can be a useful indicator.

And in fact, it’s true that I can pick up on changes in the business environment months ahead of the published numbers.

Understanding the implications of those changes is the trick. Daily conversations with business leaders give me the equivalent of perpetual survey results. And talking to candidates is the perfect reality check.

Ultimately, then, my evaluation is largely formed as an extension of what many, many others have been kind enough to share with me.

So, when you think I’ve got it wrong, I encourage you to tell me what you see from your side of the mountain.

We’re all trying to figure this out together.

Thanks for being a part of our effort!


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On TILT [Brief]: Oil & Gas


This will be short.  Biden doesn’t like oil and gas.  But he needs it.  Hmm.  Situation:  Biden Crushed U.S. Oil.  He killed the Keystone Pipeline on his first day in office.  Drilling permits are skimpy Situation:  Drillers Won’t Speculate.  No point in taking chances under an administration that wants you out of business.  Situation:  Declining…

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On TILT [Brief]: Agriculture


Farmers don’t appreciate struggling under huge price increases.  They had never seriously considered raising crops without any fertilizer.  Don’t worry, Farmers.  Your government has special plans for you.  Situation:  Farming Is A Tough Business Farmers pay for most annual costs, up front.  Time is not negotiable, when dealing with crops and animals.  If you do…

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On TILT: An Explanation


Stress and emotions can make you do weird things.  Originally, players trying to get an advantage in an arcade game might lift the machine and twist it a little.  When the machine detected that form of cheating, it flashed a red TILT sign and stopped.  Years later, Poker players are said to be on tilt…

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On TILT: Auto Manufacturing


TILT:  Auto Manufacturers are betting heavily on electric vehicles.  But where are the customers?  It’s a tiny market.  And supply lines are sketchy. The actual demand is an Executive Order from the White House.  [Note:  This article is one of several in the TILT series, highlighting unusual behavior in large industry groups.  When companies don’t…

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